Rapid Extreme Weather Event Attribution system: latest results
View the results
- Extreme heat: latest attribution analysis and results
- Extreme cold: latest attribution analysis and results
- Extreme precipitation: latest attribution analysis and results
Extreme heat: latest attribution analysis and results
During the warm season, we share detailed analysis about the most intense heat waves in Canada. The results show how human-caused climate change influenced the likelihood of heat waves.
Each analysis shows:
- the dates of each analysis period
- the peak daily high temperature averaged over the region during the heat wave
- degrees above normal daily high temperature
- a statement of current likelihood: the event was xxx likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- a statement of future likelihood: in a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be xxx likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
May 2026
Saskatchewan
- Dates: May 26 - 30, 2026
- Peak daily high temperature: 28.8 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 11.8 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
August 2025
Alberta
- Dates: August 25 – 31, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 28.8 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 9.3 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Fort Smith, Northwest Territories
- Dates: August 24 – 31, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 25.5 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 11.6 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern British Columbia
- Dates: August 23 – September 9, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 23.5 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 9.7 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern British Columbia
- Dates: August 23 – September 7, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 27.1 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 10.3 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Atlantic Canada
- Dates: August 7 – 14, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 28.4 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 9.6 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was far more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Quebec
- Dates: August 7 – 13, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 29.3 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 9.1 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Quebec
- Dates: August 6 – 9, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 23.8 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 7 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
July 2025
Fort Smith, Northwest Territories
- Dates: July 30 – August 1, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 25.2 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 6 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Atlantic Canada
- Dates: July 10 – 15, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 25.6 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 7.1 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Quebec
- Dates: July 10 – 13, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 24.2 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 7.5 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
June 2025
Yukon
- Dates: June 20 – 23, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 22 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 6 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
May 2025
Alberta
- Dates: May 28 – 31, 2025
- Peak daily high temperature: 28.8 °C
- Degrees above normal daily high temperature: 11.3 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
For more information, please visit Extreme weather event attribution - Canada.ca.
Extreme cold: latest attribution analysis and results
During the cold season, we share detailed analysis about the coldest extreme temperatures in Canada. The results show how much human-caused climate change influenced the coldest extreme temperatures.
Each analysis shows:
- the dates of each analysis period
- the coldest daily temperature averaged over the region during the extreme cold event
- degrees below normal daily low temperature
- a statement of current likelihood: the event was xxx likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- a statement of future likelihood: in a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be xxx likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
March 2026
Kitikmeot, Nunavut
- Dates: March 2 – 4, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -40.9 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -9.3 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
- Dates: March 2 – 3, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -39.9 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -11.7 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
February 2026
Kitikmeot, Nunavut
- Dates: February 24 – 26, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -43.1 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -10.8 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was far less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
- Dates: February 24 – 25, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -40.8 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -7.8 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Fort Smith, Northwest Territories
- Dates: February 17 – 18, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -38.3 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -12.9 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
- Dates: February 16 – 22, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -41.9 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -7.4 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Kitikmeot, Nunavut
- Dates: February 8 – 17, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -43.0 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -9.6 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
- Dates: February 7 – 14, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -45.3 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -15.7 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was far less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be far less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
January 2026
Saskatchewan
- Dates: January 22 – 25, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -35.2 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -15.7 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
- Dates: January 5 – 7, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -39.1 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -9.5 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Yukon
- Dates: January 3 – 5, 2026
- Coldest daily temperature: -40.9 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -15.9 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
December 2025
Northern British Columbia
- Dates: December 20 – 27, 2025
- Coldest daily temperature: -31.7 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -15.9 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern British Columbia
- Dates: December 9 – 13, 2025
- Coldest daily temperature: -32.0 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -17.2 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Yukon
- Dates: December 8 – 27, 2025
- Coldest daily temperature: -41.2 °C
- Difference from the normal daily low temperature: -17.3 °C
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much less likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.0 °C the event would be much less likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
For more information, please visit Extreme weather event attribution - Canada.ca.
Extreme precipitation: latest attribution analysis and results
Throughout the year, we share detailed analysis about the most intense precipitation events in Canada. The results show how human-caused climate change influenced the likelihood of these events.
Each analysis shows:
- the date of each event
- the total accumulated precipitation averaged over the region during the event
- the percentage of normal monthly precipitation that accumulated during the event
- a statement of current likelihood: the event was xxx likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- a statement of future likelihood: in a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be xxx likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
April 2026
Southern Quebec
Southern Central Québec
- Date: April 3, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 31.2 mm
- Portion of April's average total precipitation: 35 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Abitibi-Témiscamingue and Outaouais
- Date: April 3, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 29.5 mm
- Portion of April's average total precipitation: 38 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
March 2026
Northern British Columbia
Kitimat-Stikine and Skeena-Queen Charlotte
- Date: March 16, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 49.9 mm
- Portion of March's average total precipitation: 31 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern British Columbia
Cariboo and Central Coast
- Date: March 16, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 29.5 mm
- Portion of March's average total precipitation: 35 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Quebec
Abitibi-Témiscamingue and Outaouais
- Date: March 16, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 29.1 mm
- Portion of March's average total precipitation: 47 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
February 2026
Northern British Columbia
Kitimat-Stikine and Skeena-Queen Charlotte
- Date: February 4, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 50.3 mm
- Portion of February's average total precipitation: 34 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
January 2026
Southern British Columbia
Southwestern British Columbia
- Date: January 12, 2026
- Total accumulated precipitation: 77.7 mm
- Portion of January's average total precipitation: 23 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
December 2025
Southern British Columbia
Southwestern British Columbia
- Date: December 15, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 71.7 mm
- Portion of December's average total precipitation: 22 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
November 2025
Atlantic Canada
Western Labrador-Happy Valley-Goose Bay
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 25 mm
- Portion of November's average total precipitation: 29 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Eastern Labrador-Happy Valley-Goose Bay
- Date: November 1, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 39.9 mm
- Portion of November's average total precipitation: 43 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
October 2025
Southern Quebec
Southern Central Québec
- Date: October 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 39.1 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 35 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Saguenay Lac-Saint-Jean
- Date: October 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 28.1 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 27 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern British Columbia
Kitimat-Stikine and Skeena-Queen Charlotte
- Date: October 23, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 48.9 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 19 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Manitoba
Eastern Churchill/Northern Manitoba
- Date: October 13, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 26.4 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 42 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Thompson/North Central
- Date: October 13, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 34.2 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 62 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
West Central Baffin Island
- Date: October 5, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 15.5 mm
- Portion of October's average total precipitation: 31 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
September 2025
Northern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
Southern Ellesmere Island
- Date: September 23, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 10 mm
- Portion of September's average total precipitation: 34 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Parry Islands
- Date: September 23, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 15.1 mm
- Portion of September's average total precipitation: 37 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Quebec
Eastern Rivière-Koksoak
- Date: September 17, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 24.9 mm
- Portion of September's average total precipitation: 19 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southwestern Rivière-Koksoak
- Date: September 17, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 25.6 mm
- Portion of September's average total precipitation: 22 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
Northern Inuvik
- Date: September 6, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 20.5 mm
- Portion of September's average total precipitation: 58 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
August 2025
Kitikmeot, Nunavut
Northeastern Kitikmeot
- Date: August 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 13.9 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 30 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Central Southeastern Kitikmeot
- Date: August 8, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 16.6 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 36 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
Victoria Island Inuvik
- Date: August 30, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 21 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 46 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Inuvik
- Date: August 24, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 10 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 24 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
Southern Ellesmere Island
- Date: August 25, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 12.5 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 24 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Western Qikiqtaaluk
- Date: August 25, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 14.3 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 29 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Parry Islands
- Date: August 25, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 9.6 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 19 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Saskatchewan
Central La Ronge
- Date: August 21, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 30.2 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 42 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern La Ronge
- Date: August 14, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 24.9 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 39 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern British Columbia
Stikine
- Date: August 17, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 16.5 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 22 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Manitoba
Western Churchill/Northern Manitoba
- Date: August 14, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 24.1 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 28 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Quebec
Northwestern Rivière-Koksoak
- Date: August 13, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 23 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 27 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate..
Southern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
Western Baffin Island
- Date: August 6, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 12.9 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 25 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Fort Smith, Northwest Territories
Western Fort Smith
- Date: August 5, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 20.6 mm
- Portion of August's average total precipitation: 26 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
July 2025
Yukon
Southeastern Yukon
- Date: July 24, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 17.6 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 23 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Kitikmeot, Nunavut
Victoria Island Kitikmeot
- Date: July 19, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 10.9 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 30 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
Northern Ellesmere Island
- Date: July 19, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 6.5 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 20 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Atlantic Canada
Eastern Labrador-Happy Valley-Goose Bay
- Date: July 18, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 36 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 33 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Alberta
Southwestern Alberta
- Date: July 14, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 22.5 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 32 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
West Central Baffin Island
- Date: July 11, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 16.7 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 27 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Western Baffin Island
- Date: July 11, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 20.4 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 41 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was much more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Kivalliq, Nunavut
Northwestern Kivalliq
- Date: July 10, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 18.3 mm
- Portion of July's average total precipitation: 41 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
June 2025
Alberta
Southeastern Alberta
- Date: June 21, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 28.1 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 38 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southwestern Alberta
- Date: June 21, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 39.2 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 41 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Atlantic Canada
Eastern Labrador-Happy Valley-Goose Bay
- Date: June 21, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 31 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 34 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Saskatchewan
Southwestern Saskatchewan
- Date: June 21, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 21.5 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 29 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern La Ronge
- Date: June 1, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 19.7 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 40 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Southern Quebec
La Haute-Côte-Nord, Manicouagan, and Sept-Rivières
- Date: June 20, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 29.7 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 32 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Eastern Ontario
Central Southern Ontario
- Date: June 19, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 31.5 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 42 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Fort Smith, Northwest Territories
Eastern Fort Smith
- Date: June 2, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 27.6 mm
- Portion of June's average total precipitation: 66 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
May 2025
Inuvik, Northwest Territories
Victoria Island Inuvik
- Date: May 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 12.4 mm
- Portion of May's average total precipitation: 54 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Inuvik
- Date: May 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 11.1 mm
- Portion of May's average total precipitation: 49 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Northern Qikiqtaaluk, Nunavut
Western Qikiqtaaluk
- Date: May 31, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 15.3 mm
- Portion of May's average total precipitation: 72 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
Atlantic Canada
Eastern Labrador-Happy Valley-Goose Bay
- Date: May 11, 2025
- Total accumulated precipitation: 30.4 mm
- Portion of May's average total precipitation: 39 %
- Statement of current likelihood: The event was more likely because of human influence on the climate, in today's climate compared to the pre-industrial climate
- Statement of future likelihood: In a future climate with a global warming of 2.5 °C the event would be much more likely compared to the pre-industrial climate.
For more information, please visit Extreme weather event attribution - Canada.ca.